Moderate Signal
58%
72.6% strike rate over the last 30 days · 151W of 208 settled tips Full record →

Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev — Prediction & Betting Tips

NNarva U21 vs Tartu KalevT
5:00 pm ·— ·N/A
Home
WWWWW
8W 1D 1L
▼ Declining
Away
LLWWL
4W 1D 5L
▲ Improving
CorrectScoreForToday PickThursday, 15th October 2026
1
Backing Narva U21 to win
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-13.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Correct Score
3 – 1
Derived from Form & H2H ✓ Matches published tip
6.7% model likelihood
02Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Narva U21 to win
1.40
BTTS — No65%Narva U21 Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev Competition: Estonia Esiliiga B Date: Thursday, 15th October 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Narva U21 to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 58% Correct Score: 3-1 Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Narva U21 Clean Sheet (60%)
03Head to Head
5
Narva U21
3
Draws
2
Tartu Kalev
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Narva U21 won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
04Stats Duel
Narva U21
Metric
Tartu Kalev
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
2.3
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
06Team Ratings
Narva U21
Overall
8.3▼
Scoring
5.3▼
Defence
8.0▼
Tartu Kalev
Overall
4.3—
Scoring
3.7—
Defence
2.3—
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes22%
Home Win & BTTS No40%
Draw & BTTS Yes3%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes11%
Away Win & BTTS No20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.531%
Home Win & Under 2.531%
Draw & Over 2.54%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.515%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
08Stake Calculator
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Odds Converter

Convert between decimal, fractional and American (moneyline) odds, and see the bookmaker's implied win probability instantly. Edit any one field — the rest update automatically. New to odds formats? See our quick guide to reading odds.

Implied Probability
—
Implied probability is the bookmaker's built-in chance of that outcome, before their margin/overround is stripped out — useful for comparing against our own model's confidence rating above.
10Match Archives
Head to Head
06.09.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev0
Narva U211
18.06.26
ESB
Narva U213
Tartu Kalev2
14.03.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev3
Narva U210
09.11.25
ESB
Narva U216
Tartu Kalev1
13.09.25
ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Narva U211
29.05.25
ESB
Tartu Kalev2
Narva U213
06.04.25
ESB
Narva U210
Tartu Kalev1
19.10.24
ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Narva U211
21.08.24
ESB
Narva U212
Tartu Kalev1
26.05.24
ESB
Narva U210
Tartu Kalev0
Recent Form
Narva U21
11.10.26
ESB
Johvi Phoenix0
Narva U211
W
26.09.26
ESB
Legion1
Narva U212
W
19.09.26
ESB
Tallinna Kalev U211
Narva U212
W
15.09.26
ESB
Narva U211
Tammeka U210
W
11.09.26
ESB
Narva U211
Levadia U190
W
06.09.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev0
Narva U211
W
29.08.26
ESB
Narva U214
Tabasalu0
W
23.08.26
ESB
Tulevik3
Narva U213
D
19.08.26
ESB
Levadia U191
Narva U210
L
15.08.26
ESB
Narva U211
Johvi Phoenix0
W
Tartu Kalev
10.10.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev0
Levadia U192
L
26.09.26
ESB
Tulevik6
Tartu Kalev1
L
13.09.26
ESB
Parnu JK Vaprus U210
Tartu Kalev4
W
10.09.26
ESB
Legion1
Tartu Kalev2
W
06.09.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev0
Narva U211
L
29.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev0
Johvi Phoenix3
L
25.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Tallinna Kalev U211
D
20.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev2
Tammeka U211
W
15.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev1
Parnu JK Vaprus U210
W
11.08.26
CUP
Tallinna Kalev8
Tartu Kalev0
L
Narva U21 (Home)
15.09.26
ESB
Narva U211
Tammeka U210
W
11.09.26
ESB
Narva U211
Levadia U190
W
29.08.26
ESB
Narva U214
Tabasalu0
W
15.08.26
ESB
Narva U211
Johvi Phoenix0
W
01.08.26
ESB
Narva U215
Tallinna Kalev U210
W
19.07.26
ESB
Narva U214
Parnu JK Vaprus U211
W
05.07.26
ESB
Narva U212
Tulevik1
W
18.06.26
ESB
Narva U213
Tartu Kalev2
W
31.05.26
ESB
Narva U215
Tabasalu0
W
28.05.26
ESB
Narva U211
Johvi Phoenix1
D
Tartu Kalev (Away)
26.09.26
ESB
Tulevik6
Tartu Kalev1
L
13.09.26
ESB
Parnu JK Vaprus U210
Tartu Kalev4
W
10.09.26
ESB
Legion1
Tartu Kalev2
W
11.08.26
CUP
Tallinna Kalev8
Tartu Kalev0
L
19.07.26
ESB
Levadia U190
Tartu Kalev5
W
04.07.26
ESB
Johvi Phoenix3
Tartu Kalev2
L
21.06.26
ESB
Tabasalu3
Tartu Kalev1
L
18.06.26
ESB
Narva U213
Tartu Kalev2
L
01.06.26
ESB
Tallinna Kalev U217
Tartu Kalev2
L
24.05.26
ESB
Legion0
Tartu Kalev6
W
11Match Analysis
Analysis by correctscorefortoday · Reviewed by Editorial Team Football data & statistics analyst · Last updated 15 Oct 2026
Fact-Checked

Every football match carries its own fingerprint — a blend of current form, tactical setup, recent results and venue dynamics that sets it apart from every other fixture on the calendar. Good pre-match analysis is really just reading that fingerprint clearly enough to find where the price is mispitched. For this Estonia Esiliiga B game, here is what the reading turned up.

The home side’s recent form reads 5 wins from their last 5 games, which establishes their baseline in the market. We sharpen it with the detail of the recent home matches, asking whether they are currently performing above, at, or below their usual level, and whether that trend looks stable or is drifting one way. A side finishing recent home games with clean sheets and goals to spare is signalling something concrete about its current quality, and N/A will put it to the test.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and the recent away record refines the picture significantly. A team losing on the road lately, whatever the season suggests, sits in a different place than one quietly stacking points away from home over the past few weeks. We trust the recent away sample most when projecting how they will travel.

With both fingerprints read, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.40, a call our model rates near close to 47. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is our read — measured, evidence-led, and laid out plainly. Read enough of these fingerprints and you start to notice that the value rarely sits where the crowd is looking — it sits in the detail the headline number quietly glosses over. Browse the rest of today’s predictions on the site, each one read the same careful way.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the correct score for today's Estonia Esiliiga B match worked out?

We combine each team's recent form, head-to-head record and league-adjusted scoring rates, then choose the scoreline that best fits both the win-probability split and the published tip ("1").

Does the correct score always match the tip of the day?

Yes. Every scoreline shown is checked for consistency with the day's tip before publishing — for example an "Over 2.5" tip will never be paired with a 1-0 projection.

Is a correct score prediction a guarantee?

No. It is a statistically informed projection for information and entertainment purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Where can I get help with problem gambling?

If betting stops being fun, free confidential support is available around the clock from organisations such as BeGambleAware and GamCare. Our predictions are for information purposes only and are never a reason to chase losses.

12Reviewed By
T
The CorrectScoreForToday Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made, or the analyst's credentials and editorial policy.
Analysis last verified 15 Oct 2026, 8:04am
13Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?
Our selection is 1 — Narva U21 to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Narva U21's current form?
Narva U21 have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tartu Kalev been performing recently?
Tartu Kalev have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Narva U21 lead with 5 wins versus Tartu Kalev's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 3-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. CorrectScoreForToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.