Moderate Signal
49%
77.3% strike rate over the last 30 days · 140W of 181 settled tips Full record →

Liverpool vs Fulham — Prediction & Betting Tips

LLiverpool vs FulhamF
3:00 pm · ·Anfield (Liverpool)
Home
WWDDW
5W 3D 2L
▲ Improving
Away
LLWLW
3W 2D 5L
→ Steady
CorrectScoreForToday PickSaturday, 12th September 2026
1
Backing Liverpool to win
Implied Prob
64.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-15.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Correct Score
2 1
Derived from Form & H2H ✓ Matches published tip
8% model likelihood
02Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Liverpool to win
1.55
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Liverpool vs Fulham Competition: English Premier League Date: Saturday, 12th September 2026 KO: 3:00 pm Pick: 1 (Liverpool to win) Odds: 1.55 Confidence: 49% Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
03Head to Head
5
Liverpool
4
Draws
1
Fulham
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Liverpool won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
04Stats Duel
Liverpool
Metric
Fulham
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-3-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
06Team Ratings
Liverpool
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.3
Fulham
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes29%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes14%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.529%
Home Win & Under 2.519%
Draw & Over 2.514%
Draw & Under 2.510%
Away Win & Over 2.517%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Odds Converter

Convert between decimal, fractional and American (moneyline) odds, and see the bookmaker's implied win probability instantly. Edit any one field — the rest update automatically. New to odds formats? See our quick guide to reading odds.

Implied Probability
Implied probability is the bookmaker's built-in chance of that outcome, before their margin/overround is stripped out — useful for comparing against our own model's confidence rating above.
10Match Archives
Head to Head
11.04.26
PL
Liverpool2
Fulham0
04.01.26
PL
Fulham2
Liverpool2
06.04.25
PL
Fulham3
Liverpool2
14.12.24
PL
Liverpool2
Fulham2
21.04.24
PL
Fulham1
Liverpool3
24.01.24
EFL
Fulham1
Liverpool1
10.01.24
EFL
Liverpool2
Fulham1
03.12.23
PL
Liverpool4
Fulham3
03.05.23
PL
Liverpool1
Fulham0
06.08.22
PL
Fulham2
Liverpool2
Recent Form
Liverpool
09.09.26
CL
Liverpool2
Atl. Madrid1
W
04.09.26
PL
Ipswich0
Liverpool2
W
29.08.26
PL
Liverpool2
Nottingham2
D
23.08.26
PL
Newcastle2
Liverpool2
D
16.08.26
CF
Liverpool2
Como0
W
16.08.26
CF
Liverpool0
Como0
D
09.08.26
CF
Liverpool2
Monaco3
L
02.08.26
PLS
Liverpool2
Leeds4
L
30.07.26
PLS
Liverpool1
Wrexham0
W
25.07.26
PLS
Liverpool4
Sunderland2
W
Fulham
05.09.26
PL
Fulham2
Crystal Palace3
L
30.08.26
PL
Sunderland1
Fulham0
L
27.08.26
EFL
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
W
24.08.26
PL
Fulham2
Chelsea3
L
15.08.26
CF
Fulham1
Stuttgart0
W
12.08.26
CF
Malaga2
Fulham2
D
07.08.26
CF
Fulham1
Crystal Palace2
L
01.08.26
CF
SC Farense1
Fulham2
W
28.07.26
CF
Al Ahli SC1
Fulham1
D
25.07.26
CF
Fulham0
Norwich2
L
11Match Analysis
Analysis by correctscorefortoday · Reviewed by Editorial Team Football data & statistics analyst · Last updated 12 Sep 2026
Fact-Checked

Every football match carries its own fingerprint — a blend of current form, tactical setup, recent results and venue dynamics that sets it apart from every other fixture on the calendar. Good pre-match analysis is really just reading that fingerprint clearly enough to find where the price is mispitched. For this English Premier League game, here is what the reading turned up.

The home side’s recent form reads 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, which establishes their baseline in the market. We sharpen it with the detail of the recent home matches, asking whether they are currently performing above, at, or below their usual level, and whether that trend looks stable or is drifting one way. A side finishing recent home games with clean sheets and goals to spare is signalling something concrete about its current quality, and Anfield (Liverpool) will put it to the test.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and the recent away record refines the picture significantly. A team losing on the road lately, whatever the season suggests, sits in a different place than one quietly stacking points away from home over the past few weeks. We trust the recent away sample most when projecting how they will travel.

With both fingerprints read, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.55, a call our model rates near 47%. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is our read — measured, evidence-led, and laid out plainly. Read enough of these fingerprints and you start to notice that the value rarely sits where the crowd is looking — it sits in the detail the headline number quietly glosses over. Browse the rest of today’s predictions on the site, each one read the same careful way.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the correct score for today's English Premier League match worked out?

We combine each team's recent form, head-to-head record and league-adjusted scoring rates, then choose the scoreline that best fits both the win-probability split and the published tip ("1").

Does the correct score always match the tip of the day?

Yes. Every scoreline shown is checked for consistency with the day's tip before publishing — for example an "Over 2.5" tip will never be paired with a 1-0 projection.

Is a correct score prediction a guarantee?

No. It is a statistically informed projection for information and entertainment purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Where can I get help with problem gambling?

If betting stops being fun, free confidential support is available around the clock from organisations such as BeGambleAware and GamCare. Our predictions are for information purposes only and are never a reason to chase losses.

12Reviewed By
T
The CorrectScoreForToday Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made, or the analyst's credentials and editorial policy.
Analysis last verified 12 Sep 2026, 5:38am
13Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Liverpool vs Fulham?
Our selection is 1 — Liverpool to win, priced at approximately 1.55. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fulham been performing recently?
Fulham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Liverpool lead with 5 wins versus Fulham's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. CorrectScoreForToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.