WON Tip WON Levski Sofia 6-0 Spartak Varna
83% strike rate over the last 30 days · 78W of 94 settled tips Full record →

Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna — Prediction & Betting Tips

LLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaS
7:15 pm ·Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia)
Home
DWWWW
7W 2D 1L
▲ Improving
Away
LLWWD
4W 3D 3L
→ Steady
CorrectScoreForToday PickSaturday, 22nd August 2026
1
Backing Levski Sofia to win
Levski Sofia
50%
Draw
30%
Spartak Varna
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
81.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-17.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Correct Score
1 0
Derived from Form & H2H ✓ Matches published tip
14.8% model likelihood
02Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Levski Sofia to win
1.23
BTTS — No65%Levski Sofia Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League Date: Saturday, 22nd August 2026 KO: 7:15 pm Pick: 1 (Levski Sofia to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 64% Correct Score: 1-0 Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Levski Sofia Clean Sheet (60%)
03Head to Head
8
Levski Sofia
2
Draws
0
Spartak Varna
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Levski Sofia won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
04Stats Duel
Levski Sofia
Metric
Spartak Varna
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.9
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.1
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
70%
40%
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
05Market Odds Intelligence
Levski Sofia Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Spartak Varna Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Levski Sofia
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.7
Spartak Varna
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes18%
Home Win & BTTS No34%
Draw & BTTS Yes7%
Draw & BTTS No12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes10%
Away Win & BTTS No19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.526%
Home Win & Under 2.526%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.510%
Away Win & Over 2.515%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Odds Converter

Convert between decimal, fractional and American (moneyline) odds, and see the bookmaker's implied win probability instantly. Edit any one field — the rest update automatically. New to odds formats? See our quick guide to reading odds.

Implied Probability
Implied probability is the bookmaker's built-in chance of that outcome, before their margin/overround is stripped out — useful for comparing against our own model's confidence rating above.
10Match Archives
Head to Head
07.12.25
1L
Spartak Varna1
Levski Sofia3
10.08.25
1L
Levski Sofia2
Spartak Varna1
21.02.25
1L
Levski Sofia2
Spartak Varna0
31.08.24
1L
Spartak Varna0
Levski Sofia0
06.11.22
1L
Spartak Varna2
Levski Sofia2
16.07.22
1L
Levski Sofia5
Spartak Varna0
25.09.19
CUP
Spartak Varna1
Levski Sofia5
23.09.14
CUP
Spartak Varna1
Levski Sofia7
17.05.09
1L
Levski Sofia5
Spartak Varna0
09.11.08
1L
Spartak Varna0
Levski Sofia1
Recent Form
Levski Sofia
18.08.26
CL
Levski Sofia0
AEK Athens0
D
11.08.26
CL
Kairat Almaty0
Levski Sofia1
W
07.08.26
1L
Levski Sofia2
Lok. Plovdiv0
W
04.08.26
CL
Levski Sofia1
Kairat Almaty0
W
01.08.26
1L
Levski Sofia3
Septemvri Sofia0
W
29.07.26
CL
Univ. Craiova2
Levski Sofia2
D
25.07.26
1L
Lok. Sofia1
Levski Sofia2
W
22.07.26
CL
Levski Sofia1
Univ. Craiova0
W
17.07.26
1L
Levski Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
W
14.07.26
CL
Levski Sofia4
Borac Banja Luka0
W
Spartak Varna
17.08.26
1L
Spartak Varna0
Septemvri Sofia1
L
10.08.26
1L
Botev Plovdiv3
Spartak Varna2
L
03.08.26
1L
Spartak Varna1
Lok. Plovdiv0
W
26.07.26
1L
Cherno More0
Spartak Varna3
W
17.07.26
1L
Spartak Varna2
CSKA 1948 Sofia2
D
11.07.26
CF
Spartak Varna7
Dobrudzha3
W
08.07.26
CF
Spartak Varna1
Nesebar1
D
04.07.26
CF
Botev Plovdiv1
Spartak Varna0
L
27.06.26
CF
Spartak Varna0
Dunav Ruse0
D
22.05.26
1L
Spartak Varna3
Lok. Sofia0
W
11Match Analysis
Analysis by correctscorefortoday · Reviewed by Editorial Team Football data & statistics analyst · Last updated 25 Aug 2026
Fact-Checked

Every football match carries its own fingerprint — a blend of current form, tactical setup, recent results and venue dynamics that sets it apart from every other fixture on the calendar. Good pre-match analysis is really just reading that fingerprint clearly enough to find where the price is mispitched. For this Bulgaria EFBET League game, here is what the reading turned up.

The home side’s recent form reads 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which establishes their baseline in the market. We sharpen it with the detail of the recent home matches, asking whether they are currently performing above, at, or below their usual level, and whether that trend looks stable or is drifting one way. A side finishing recent home games with clean sheets and goals to spare is signalling something concrete about its current quality, and Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) will put it to the test.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and the recent away record refines the picture significantly. A team losing on the road lately, whatever the season suggests, sits in a different place than one quietly stacking points away from home over the past few weeks. We trust the recent away sample most when projecting how they will travel.

With both fingerprints read, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.23, a call our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:15 pm.

That is our read — measured, evidence-led, and laid out plainly. Read enough of these fingerprints and you start to notice that the value rarely sits where the crowd is looking — it sits in the detail the headline number quietly glosses over. Browse the rest of today’s predictions on the site, each one read the same careful way.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the correct score for today's Bulgaria EFBET League match worked out?

We combine each team's recent form, head-to-head record and league-adjusted scoring rates, then choose the scoreline that best fits both the win-probability split and the published tip ("1").

Does the correct score always match the tip of the day?

Yes. Every scoreline shown is checked for consistency with the day's tip before publishing — for example an "Over 2.5" tip will never be paired with a 1-0 projection.

Is a correct score prediction a guarantee?

No. It is a statistically informed projection for information and entertainment purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Where can I get help with problem gambling?

If betting stops being fun, free confidential support is available around the clock from organisations such as BeGambleAware and GamCare. Our predictions are for information purposes only and are never a reason to chase losses.

12Reviewed By
T
The CorrectScoreForToday Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made, or the analyst's credentials and editorial policy.
Analysis last verified 25 Aug 2026, 3:34pm
13Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our selection is 1 — Levski Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Levski Sofia's current form?
Levski Sofia have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Spartak Varna been performing recently?
Spartak Varna have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levski Sofia lead with 8 wins versus Spartak Varna's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. CorrectScoreForToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.