WON Tip WON Hamilton 2-1 Peterhead
74.3% strike rate over the last 30 days · 142W of 191 settled tips Full record →

Hamilton vs Peterhead — Prediction & Betting Tips

HHamilton 2-1 PeterheadP
5:30 pm ·ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)
Home
WWWWW
7W 1D 2L
▼ Declining
Away
LWLLW
4W 1D 5L
▲ Improving
CorrectScoreForToday PickSaturday, 3rd October 2026
1
Backing Hamilton to win
Implied Prob
69.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-9.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Correct Score
2 – 0
Derived from Form & H2H ✓ Matches published tip
11.2% model likelihood
02Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Hamilton to win
1.43
Hamilton Clean Sheet70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hamilton vs Peterhead Competition: Scotland League One Date: Saturday, 3rd October 2026 KO: 5:30 pm Pick: 1 (Hamilton to win) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 60% Correct Score: 2-0 Also: Hamilton Clean Sheet (70%)
03Head to Head
6
Hamilton
2
Draws
2
Peterhead
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Hamilton won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
04Stats Duel
Hamilton
Metric
Peterhead
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.6
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
70%
40%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
06Team Ratings
Hamilton
Overall
7.3▼
Scoring
6.3▼
Defence
8.3▼
Peterhead
Overall
4.3—
Scoring
3.7—
Defence
4.7—
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No35%
Draw & BTTS Yes3%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes14%
Away Win & BTTS No20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.535%
Home Win & Under 2.523%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.514%
08Stake Calculator
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Odds Converter

Convert between decimal, fractional and American (moneyline) odds, and see the bookmaker's implied win probability instantly. Edit any one field — the rest update automatically. New to odds formats? See our quick guide to reading odds.

Implied Probability
—
Implied probability is the bookmaker's built-in chance of that outcome, before their margin/overround is stripped out — useful for comparing against our own model's confidence rating above.
10Match Archives
Head to Head
11.07.26
LC
Peterhead0
Hamilton1
25.04.26
LO
Hamilton3
Peterhead1
17.01.26
LO
Peterhead2
Hamilton3
08.11.25
LO
Hamilton3
Peterhead0
13.09.25
LO
Peterhead2
Hamilton2
13.08.01
CUP
Peterhead2
Hamilton0
17.03.01
LT
Peterhead2
Hamilton1
20.01.01
LT
Hamilton3
Peterhead0
11.11.00
LT
Peterhead1
Hamilton1
22.09.00
LT
Hamilton3
Peterhead0
Recent Form
Hamilton
26.09.26
CUP
Hamilton3
Kilmarnock B0
W
23.09.26
CUP
Hamilton1
Cowdenbeath0
W
19.09.26
LO
Hamilton4
Queen of South1
W
08.09.26
CUP
Spartans0
Hamilton4
W
05.09.26
LO
East Kilbride0
Hamilton1
W
29.08.26
LO
Hamilton1
Cove Rangers0
W
25.08.26
CUP
Hamilton0
Edinburgh City1
L
22.08.26
LO
East Fife0
Hamilton0
D
15.08.26
LO
Hamilton4
Airdrieonians0
W
12.08.26
CUP
Hamilton1
Celtic B3
L
Peterhead
26.09.26
CUP
Peterhead0
Elgin City1
L
22.09.26
CUP
Forfar Athletic0
Peterhead2
W
19.09.26
LO
Peterhead1
Airdrieonians2
L
12.09.26
LO
East Kilbride3
Peterhead1
L
08.09.26
CUP
Peterhead2
Clachnacuddin1
W
05.09.26
LO
Peterhead0
Montrose3
L
29.08.26
LO
Alloa1
Peterhead1
D
25.08.26
CUP
Peterhead2
Dundee FC B1
W
22.08.26
LO
Cove Rangers3
Peterhead0
L
15.08.26
LO
Peterhead2
East Fife1
W
11Match Analysis
Analysis by correctscorefortoday · Reviewed by Editorial Team Football data & statistics analyst · Last updated 05 Oct 2026
Fact-Checked

Every football match carries its own fingerprint — a blend of current form, tactical setup, recent results and venue dynamics that sets it apart from every other fixture on the calendar. Good pre-match analysis is really just reading that fingerprint clearly enough to find where the price is mispitched. For this Scotland League One game, here is what the reading turned up.

The home side’s recent form reads 5 wins from their last 5 games, which establishes their baseline in the market. We sharpen it with the detail of the recent home matches, asking whether they are currently performing above, at, or below their usual level, and whether that trend looks stable or is drifting one way. A side finishing recent home games with clean sheets and goals to spare is signalling something concrete about its current quality, and ZLX Stadium (Hamilton) will put it to the test.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and the recent away record refines the picture significantly. A team losing on the road lately, whatever the season suggests, sits in a different place than one quietly stacking points away from home over the past few weeks. We trust the recent away sample most when projecting how they will travel.

With both fingerprints read, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.43, a call our model rates near 52%. The fixture starts at 5:30 pm.

That is our read — measured, evidence-led, and laid out plainly. Read enough of these fingerprints and you start to notice that the value rarely sits where the crowd is looking — it sits in the detail the headline number quietly glosses over. Browse the rest of today’s predictions on the site, each one read the same careful way.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the correct score for today's Scotland League One match worked out?

We combine each team's recent form, head-to-head record and league-adjusted scoring rates, then choose the scoreline that best fits both the win-probability split and the published tip ("1").

Does the correct score always match the tip of the day?

Yes. Every scoreline shown is checked for consistency with the day's tip before publishing — for example an "Over 2.5" tip will never be paired with a 1-0 projection.

Is a correct score prediction a guarantee?

No. It is a statistically informed projection for information and entertainment purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Where can I get help with problem gambling?

If betting stops being fun, free confidential support is available around the clock from organisations such as BeGambleAware and GamCare. Our predictions are for information purposes only and are never a reason to chase losses.

12Reviewed By
T
The CorrectScoreForToday Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made, or the analyst's credentials and editorial policy.
Analysis last verified 5 Oct 2026, 10:36am
13Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Hamilton vs Peterhead?
Our selection is 1 — Hamilton to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Hamilton's current form?
Hamilton have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Peterhead been performing recently?
Peterhead have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hamilton lead with 6 wins versus Peterhead's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. CorrectScoreForToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.