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Hamburger vs Stuttgart — Prediction & Betting Tips

HHamburger 1-0 StuttgartS
2:30 pm ·Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Home
WWWLL
3W 1D 6L
▲ Improving
Away
WWWWL
7W 0D 3L
▲ Improving
CorrectScoreForToday PickSaturday, 17th October 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
69.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+15.1%
Value detected
Kelly %
50.1%
Suggested bankroll %
01Correct Score
3 – 1
Derived from Form & H2H ✓ Matches published tip
6.5% model likelihood
02Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals85%Over 1.5 Goals95%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hamburger vs Stuttgart Competition: German Bundesliga Date: Saturday, 17th October 2026 KO: 2:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 85% Correct Score: 3-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
03Head to Head
3
Hamburger
1
Draws
6
Stuttgart
10
Meetings
4.1
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
04Stats Duel
Hamburger
Metric
Stuttgart
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.6
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1
0%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-1-6
W — D — L
7-0-3
Win Rate
30%
70%
3.9
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
06Team Ratings
Hamburger
Overall
3.3—
Scoring
6.0—
Defence
2.3—
Stuttgart
Overall
7.0▼
Scoring
8.7▼
Defence
6.7▼
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes17%
Home Win & BTTS No12%
Draw & BTTS Yes3%
Draw & BTTS No2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes40%
Away Win & BTTS No26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.525%
Home Win & Under 2.54%
Draw & Over 2.54%
Draw & Under 2.51%
Away Win & Over 2.556%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Odds Converter

Convert between decimal, fractional and American (moneyline) odds, and see the bookmaker's implied win probability instantly. Edit any one field — the rest update automatically. New to odds formats? See our quick guide to reading odds.

Implied Probability
—
Implied probability is the bookmaker's built-in chance of that outcome, before their margin/overround is stripped out — useful for comparing against our own model's confidence rating above.
10Match Archives
Head to Head
12.04.26
BUN
Stuttgart4
Hamburger SV0
30.11.25
BUN
Hamburger SV2
Stuttgart1
05.06.23
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Stuttgart3
01.06.23
BUN
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV0
26.08.20
CF
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV2
28.05.20
2BUN
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV2
29.10.19
POK
Hamburger SV1
Stuttgart2
26.10.19
2BUN
Hamburger SV6
Stuttgart2
31.03.18
BUN
Stuttgart1
Hamburger SV1
04.11.17
BUN
Hamburger SV3
Stuttgart1
Recent Form
Hamburger
12.04.26
BUN
Stuttgart4
Hamburger SV0
30.11.25
BUN
Hamburger SV2
Stuttgart1
05.06.23
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Stuttgart3
01.06.23
BUN
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV0
26.08.20
CF
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV2
28.05.20
2BUN
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV2
29.10.19
POK
Hamburger SV1
Stuttgart2
26.10.19
2BUN
Hamburger SV6
Stuttgart2
31.03.18
BUN
Stuttgart1
Hamburger SV1
04.11.17
BUN
Hamburger SV3
Stuttgart1
Stuttgart
14.10.26
CL
Slovan Bratislava0
Stuttgart3
W
10.10.26
BUN
Paderborn0
Stuttgart2
W
01.10.26
CF
Stuttgart5
Greuther Furth0
W
25.09.26
CF
Stuttgart3
Heidenheim0
W
19.09.26
BUN
Stuttgart0
Dortmund1
L
12.09.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Stuttgart1
L
09.09.26
CL
Stuttgart3
Viking1
W
04.09.26
BUN
Stuttgart4
FC Koln1
W
28.08.26
BUN
Bayern Munich5
Stuttgart1
L
21.08.26
POK
Hansa Rostock0
Stuttgart4
W
Hamburger (Home)
04.10.26
CF
Hamburger SV2
FC Copenhagen0
W
19.09.26
BUN
Hamburger SV2
FC Koln1
W
06.09.26
BUN
Hamburger SV0
Mainz5
L
08.08.26
CF
Hamburger SV2
Lille2
D
01.08.26
CF
Hamburger SV1
Everton2
L
10.05.26
BUN
Hamburger SV3
Freiburg2
W
25.04.26
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Hoffenheim2
L
04.04.26
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Augsburg1
D
14.03.26
BUN
Hamburger SV1
FC Koln1
D
04.03.26
BUN
Hamburger SV0
Bayer Leverkusen1
L
Stuttgart (Away)
14.10.26
CL
Slovan Bratislava0
Stuttgart3
W
10.10.26
BUN
Paderborn0
Stuttgart2
W
12.09.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Stuttgart1
L
28.08.26
BUN
Bayern Munich5
Stuttgart1
L
21.08.26
POK
Hansa Rostock0
Stuttgart4
W
15.08.26
CF
Fulham1
Stuttgart0
L
29.07.26
CF
Offenbach1
Stuttgart8
W
25.07.26
CF
Hollenbach0
Stuttgart5
W
19.07.26
CF
Balingen0
Stuttgart7
W
23.05.26
POK
Bayern Munich3
Stuttgart0
L
11Match Analysis
Analysis by correctscorefortoday · Reviewed by Editorial Team Football data & statistics analyst · Last updated 19 Oct 2026
Fact-Checked

Every football match carries its own fingerprint — a blend of current form, tactical setup, recent results and venue dynamics that sets it apart from every other fixture on the calendar. Good pre-match analysis is really just reading that fingerprint clearly enough to find where the price is mispitched. For this German Bundesliga game, here is what the reading turned up.

The home side’s recent form reads 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, which establishes their baseline in the market. We sharpen it with the detail of the recent home matches, asking whether they are currently performing above, at, or below their usual level, and whether that trend looks stable or is drifting one way. A side finishing recent home games with clean sheets and goals to spare is signalling something concrete about its current quality, and Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) will put it to the test.

The visitors bring 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and the recent away record refines the picture significantly. A team losing on the road lately, whatever the season suggests, sits in a different place than one quietly stacking points away from home over the past few weeks. We trust the recent away sample most when projecting how they will travel.

With both fingerprints read, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.43, a call our model rates near 83%. The fixture starts at 2:30 pm.

That is our read — measured, evidence-led, and laid out plainly. Read enough of these fingerprints and you start to notice that the value rarely sits where the crowd is looking — it sits in the detail the headline number quietly glosses over. Browse the rest of today’s predictions on the site, each one read the same careful way.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the correct score for today's German Bundesliga match worked out?

We combine each team's recent form, head-to-head record and league-adjusted scoring rates, then choose the scoreline that best fits both the win-probability split and the published tip ("Over 2.5").

Does the correct score always match the tip of the day?

Yes. Every scoreline shown is checked for consistency with the day's tip before publishing — for example an "Over 2.5" tip will never be paired with a 1-0 projection.

Is a correct score prediction a guarantee?

No. It is a statistically informed projection for information and entertainment purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Where can I get help with problem gambling?

If betting stops being fun, free confidential support is available around the clock from organisations such as BeGambleAware and GamCare. Our predictions are for information purposes only and are never a reason to chase losses.

12Reviewed By
T
The CorrectScoreForToday Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made, or the analyst's credentials and editorial policy.
Analysis last verified 19 Oct 2026, 8:53am
13Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Hamburger vs Stuttgart?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is Hamburger's current form?
Hamburger have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stuttgart been performing recently?
Stuttgart have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hamburger lead with 3 wins versus Stuttgart's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 3-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. CorrectScoreForToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.