WON Tip WON Falcon U20 5-0 Guarany SE U20
74.9% strike rate over the last 30 days · 137W of 183 settled tips Full record →

Falcon U20 vs Guarany SE U20 — Prediction & Betting Tips

FFalcon U20 5-0 Guarany SE U20G
7:00 pm ·N/A
Home
WWWLW
7W 0D 3L
→ Steady
Away
DDWWL
4W 2D 4L
▼ Declining
CorrectScoreForToday PickWednesday, 23rd September 2026
1
Backing Falcon U20 to win
Implied Prob
78.7%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-13.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Correct Score
2 – 1
Derived from Form & H2H ✓ Matches published tip
8.3% model likelihood
02Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Falcon U20 to win
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals85%BTTS — No75%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Falcon U20 vs Guarany SE U20 Competition: Brazil Sergipano U20 Date: Wednesday, 23rd September 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Falcon U20 to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 65% Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — No (75%)
03Head to Head
1
Falcon U20
0
Draws
0
Guarany SE U20
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Falcon U20 won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
04Stats Duel
Falcon U20
Metric
Guarany SE U20
1.8
Goals For / Game
2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-0-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
70%
40%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
06Team Ratings
Falcon U20
Overall
7.0▼
Scoring
6.0▼
Defence
7.0▼
Guarany SE U20
Overall
4.6—
Scoring
6.7—
Defence
5.0—
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes15%
Home Win & BTTS No44%
Draw & BTTS Yes2%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes9%
Away Win & BTTS No26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.535%
Home Win & Under 2.523%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.514%
08Stake Calculator
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Odds Converter

Convert between decimal, fractional and American (moneyline) odds, and see the bookmaker's implied win probability instantly. Edit any one field — the rest update automatically. New to odds formats? See our quick guide to reading odds.

Implied Probability
—
Implied probability is the bookmaker's built-in chance of that outcome, before their margin/overround is stripped out — useful for comparing against our own model's confidence rating above.
10Match Archives
Head to Head
28.05.25
SER
Guarany SE U201
Falcon U203
Recent Form
Falcon U20
19.09.26
SER
Itabaiana U200
Falcon U204
W
16.09.26
SER
Falcon U202
Confianca U201
W
12.09.26
SER
Falcon U202
Lagarto U200
W
09.09.26
COP
Sergipe U201
Falcon U200
L
05.09.26
SER
Sergipe U200
Falcon U202
W
08.01.26
CPH
Falcon U203
Galvez U200
W
05.01.26
CPH
Votuporanguense U203
Falcon U200
L
02.01.26
CPH
Gremio U203
Falcon U200
L
05.06.25
SER
Falcon U202
Sergipe U200
W
01.06.25
SER
Falcon U203
Itabaiana U201
W
Guarany SE U20
19.09.26
SER
Guarany SE U200
Confianca U200
D
12.09.26
SER
Sergipe U205
Guarany SE U205
D
09.09.26
SER
Guarany SE U203
Atletico Gloriense U200
W
05.09.26
SER
Desportiva Aracaju U200
Guarany SE U203
W
28.05.25
SER
Guarany SE U201
Falcon U203
L
26.05.25
SER
Dorense U200
Guarany SE U202
W
18.05.25
SER
Barra SE U200
Guarany SE U205
W
10.05.25
SER
Guarany SE U200
America SE U202
L
01.05.25
SER
Guarany SE U200
Carmopolis U201
L
28.04.25
SER
Itabaiana U204
Guarany SE U201
L
11Match Analysis
Analysis by correctscorefortoday · Reviewed by Editorial Team Football data & statistics analyst · Last updated 24 Sep 2026
Fact-Checked

Every football match carries its own fingerprint — a blend of current form, tactical setup, recent results and venue dynamics that sets it apart from every other fixture on the calendar. Good pre-match analysis is really just reading that fingerprint clearly enough to find where the price is mispitched. For this Brazil Sergipano U20 game, here is what the reading turned up.

The home side’s recent form reads 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which establishes their baseline in the market. We sharpen it with the detail of the recent home matches, asking whether they are currently performing above, at, or below their usual level, and whether that trend looks stable or is drifting one way. A side finishing recent home games with clean sheets and goals to spare is signalling something concrete about its current quality, and N/A will put it to the test.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and the recent away record refines the picture significantly. A team losing on the road lately, whatever the season suggests, sits in a different place than one quietly stacking points away from home over the past few weeks. We trust the recent away sample most when projecting how they will travel.

With both fingerprints read, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.27, a call our model rates near close to 49. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is our read — measured, evidence-led, and laid out plainly. Read enough of these fingerprints and you start to notice that the value rarely sits where the crowd is looking — it sits in the detail the headline number quietly glosses over. Browse the rest of today’s predictions on the site, each one read the same careful way.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the correct score for today's Brazil Sergipano U20 match worked out?

We combine each team's recent form, head-to-head record and league-adjusted scoring rates, then choose the scoreline that best fits both the win-probability split and the published tip ("1").

Does the correct score always match the tip of the day?

Yes. Every scoreline shown is checked for consistency with the day's tip before publishing — for example an "Over 2.5" tip will never be paired with a 1-0 projection.

Is a correct score prediction a guarantee?

No. It is a statistically informed projection for information and entertainment purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Where can I get help with problem gambling?

If betting stops being fun, free confidential support is available around the clock from organisations such as BeGambleAware and GamCare. Our predictions are for information purposes only and are never a reason to chase losses.

12Reviewed By
T
The CorrectScoreForToday Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made, or the analyst's credentials and editorial policy.
Analysis last verified 24 Sep 2026, 10:37am
13Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Falcon U20 vs Guarany SE U20?
Our selection is 1 — Falcon U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Falcon U20's current form?
Falcon U20 have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Guarany SE U20 been performing recently?
Guarany SE U20 have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Falcon U20 lead with 1 wins versus Guarany SE U20's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. CorrectScoreForToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.