Moderate Signal
46%
77.5% strike rate over the last 30 days · 134W of 173 settled tips Full record →

BUL vs Ntugasaze — Prediction & Betting Tips

BBUL vs NtugasazeN
2:00 pm · ·FUFA Technical Centre (Njeru)
Home
WWLDD
3W 4D 3L
▲ Improving
Away
LLWWW
5W 1D 4L
▼ Declining
CorrectScoreForToday PickTuesday, 8th September 2026
1
Backing BUL to win
Implied Prob
76.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-30.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Correct Score
1 0
Derived from Form & H2H ✓ Matches published tip
8.8% model likelihood
03Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
04Stats Duel
BUL
Metric
Ntugasaze
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-4-3
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
30%
50%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
06Team Ratings
BUL
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
Ntugasaze
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes12%
Home Win & BTTS No17%
Draw & BTTS Yes10%
Draw & BTTS No14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes19%
Away Win & BTTS No28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.513%
Home Win & Under 2.516%
Draw & Over 2.511%
Draw & Under 2.513%
Away Win & Over 2.521%
Away Win & Under 2.526%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Odds Converter

Convert between decimal, fractional and American (moneyline) odds, and see the bookmaker's implied win probability instantly. Edit any one field — the rest update automatically. New to odds formats? See our quick guide to reading odds.

Implied Probability
Implied probability is the bookmaker's built-in chance of that outcome, before their margin/overround is stripped out — useful for comparing against our own model's confidence rating above.
10Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
BUL
03.09.26
PL
Kataka1
BUL4
W
30.08.26
PL
BUL1
Express0
W
23.05.26
PL
Entebbe UPPC4
BUL0
L
19.05.26
PL
BUL1
Kitara1
D
12.05.26
PL
BUL0
Lugazi0
D
08.05.26
PL
Villa0
BUL0
D
28.04.26
PL
BUL0
NEC FC1
L
24.04.26
PL
Express0
BUL2
W
21.04.26
PL
BUL2
UPDF5
L
16.04.26
PL
URA SC1
BUL1
D
Ntugasaze
02.09.26
PL
Ntugasaze1
Maroons3
L
29.08.26
PL
Blacks Power1
Ntugasaze0
L
06.06.26
BL
Kiyinda Boys0
Ntugasaze3
W
24.05.26
BL
Ntugasaze2
Bunyaruguru1
W
17.05.26
BL
Bright Stars0
Ntugasaze2
W
10.05.26
BL
Ntugasaze0
Kaaro Karungi0
D
03.05.26
BL
Ntugasaze3
Wakiso Giants0
W
26.04.26
BL
Kataka3
Ntugasaze1
L
19.04.26
BL
Ntugasaze2
Iganga United0
W
12.04.26
BL
Catda2
Ntugasaze1
L
11Match Analysis
Analysis by correctscorefortoday · Reviewed by Editorial Team Football data & statistics analyst · Last updated 08 Sep 2026
Fact-Checked

Every football match carries its own fingerprint — a blend of current form, tactical setup, recent results and venue dynamics that sets it apart from every other fixture on the calendar. Good pre-match analysis is really just reading that fingerprint clearly enough to find where the price is mispitched. For this Unknown League game, here is what the reading turned up.

The home side’s recent form reads 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which establishes their baseline in the market. We sharpen it with the detail of the recent home matches, asking whether they are currently performing above, at, or below their usual level, and whether that trend looks stable or is drifting one way. A side finishing recent home games with clean sheets and goals to spare is signalling something concrete about its current quality, and FUFA Technical Centre (Njeru) will put it to the test.

The visitors bring 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and the recent away record refines the picture significantly. A team losing on the road lately, whatever the season suggests, sits in a different place than one quietly stacking points away from home over the past few weeks. We trust the recent away sample most when projecting how they will travel.

With both fingerprints read, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.31, a call our model rates near 57%. The fixture starts at 2:00 pm.

That is our read — measured, evidence-led, and laid out plainly. Read enough of these fingerprints and you start to notice that the value rarely sits where the crowd is looking — it sits in the detail the headline number quietly glosses over. Browse the rest of today’s predictions on the site, each one read the same careful way.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the correct score for today's Uganda Premier League match worked out?

We combine each team's recent form, head-to-head record and league-adjusted scoring rates, then choose the scoreline that best fits both the win-probability split and the published tip ("1").

Does the correct score always match the tip of the day?

Yes. Every scoreline shown is checked for consistency with the day's tip before publishing — for example an "Over 2.5" tip will never be paired with a 1-0 projection.

Is a correct score prediction a guarantee?

No. It is a statistically informed projection for information and entertainment purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Where can I get help with problem gambling?

If betting stops being fun, free confidential support is available around the clock from organisations such as BeGambleAware and GamCare. Our predictions are for information purposes only and are never a reason to chase losses.

12Reviewed By
T
The CorrectScoreForToday Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made, or the analyst's credentials and editorial policy.
Analysis last verified 8 Sep 2026, 5:20am
13Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for BUL vs Ntugasaze?
Our selection is 1 — BUL to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is BUL's current form?
BUL have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ntugasaze been performing recently?
Ntugasaze have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. CorrectScoreForToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.