WON Tip WON Al-Sadd 2-1 Al-Gharafa
81% strike rate over the last 30 days · 102W of 126 settled tips Full record →

Al-Sadd vs Al-Gharafa — Prediction & Betting Tips

AAl-Sadd 2-1 Al-GharafaA
3:00 pm ·Khalifa International Stadium (Al Rayyan)
Home
WWDWL
6W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
Away
LWDLW
7W 1D 1L
▲ Improving
CorrectScoreForToday PickTuesday, 1st September 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
70.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-1.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Correct Score
2 1
Derived from Form & H2H ✓ Matches published tip
6.7% model likelihood
03Head to Head
5
Al-Sadd
3
Draws
2
Al-Gharafa
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
04Stats Duel
Al-Sadd
Metric
Al-Gharafa
2.9
Goals For / Game
0.4
2
Goals Against / Game
0.1
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-2-2
W — D — L
7-1-1
Win Rate
60%
78%
2.8
Avg Goals
53%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Rate
06Team Ratings
Al-Sadd
Overall
6.6
Scoring
9.7
Defence
3.3
Al-Gharafa
Overall
8.1
Scoring
1.5
Defence
9.6
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes21%
Home Win & BTTS No18%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes27%
Away Win & BTTS No24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.518%
Home Win & Under 2.521%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.524%
Away Win & Under 2.527%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Odds Converter

Convert between decimal, fractional and American (moneyline) odds, and see the bookmaker's implied win probability instantly. Edit any one field — the rest update automatically. New to odds formats? See our quick guide to reading odds.

Implied Probability
Implied probability is the bookmaker's built-in chance of that outcome, before their margin/overround is stripped out — useful for comparing against our own model's confidence rating above.
10Match Archives
Head to Head
09.05.26
EMI
Al-Gharafa4
Al-Sadd1
31.01.26
QSL
Al-Gharafa1
Al-Sadd3
01.09.25
QSC
Al-Gharafa3
Al-Sadd3
28.08.25
QSL
Al-Sadd2
Al-Gharafa0
14.05.25
EMI
Al-Gharafa2
Al-Sadd (5-4)2
27.02.25
QSL
Al-Gharafa0
Al-Sadd4
26.09.24
QSL
Al-Sadd4
Al-Gharafa2
06.03.24
QSL
Al-Gharafa2
Al-Sadd2
28.09.23
QSL
Al-Sadd4
Al-Gharafa0
15.09.23
QFA
Al-Sadd0
Al-Gharafa1
Recent Form
Al-Sadd
28.08.26
QSL
Qatar SC2
Al-Sadd6
W
22.08.26
QSL
Al-Sadd3
Al Ahli Doha1
W
06.08.26
CF
Aris1
Al-Sadd1
D
30.07.26
CF
Trabzonspor0
Al-Sadd1
W
17.07.26
CF
Sigma Olomouc2
Al-Sadd1
L
09.05.26
EMI
Al-Gharafa4
Al-Sadd1
L
05.05.26
EMI
Al-Duhail1
Al-Sadd4
W
01.05.26
EMI
Shamal4
Al-Sadd6
W
27.04.26
QSL
Al-Sadd3
Shamal2
W
16.04.26
CL
Al-Sadd3
Vissel Kobe (4-5)3
Al-Gharafa
28.08.26
QSL
Qatar SC2
Al-Sadd6
W
22.08.26
QSL
Al-Sadd3
Al Ahli Doha1
W
06.08.26
CF
Aris1
Al-Sadd1
D
30.07.26
CF
Trabzonspor0
Al-Sadd1
W
17.07.26
CF
Sigma Olomouc2
Al-Sadd1
L
09.05.26
EMI
Al-Gharafa4
Al-Sadd1
L
05.05.26
EMI
Al-Duhail1
Al-Sadd4
W
01.05.26
EMI
Shamal4
Al-Sadd6
W
27.04.26
QSL
Al-Sadd3
Shamal2
W
16.04.26
CL
Al-Sadd3
Vissel Kobe (4-5)3
11Match Analysis
Analysis by correctscorefortoday · Reviewed by Editorial Team Football data & statistics analyst · Last updated 02 Sep 2026
Fact-Checked

Every football match carries its own fingerprint — a blend of current form, tactical setup, recent results and venue dynamics that sets it apart from every other fixture on the calendar. Good pre-match analysis is really just reading that fingerprint clearly enough to find where the price is mispitched. For this Unknown League game, here is what the reading turned up.

The home side’s recent form reads 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which establishes their baseline in the market. We sharpen it with the detail of the recent home matches, asking whether they are currently performing above, at, or below their usual level, and whether that trend looks stable or is drifting one way. A side finishing recent home games with clean sheets and goals to spare is signalling something concrete about its current quality, and Khalifa International Stadium (Al Rayyan) will put it to the test.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and the recent away record refines the picture significantly. A team losing on the road lately, whatever the season suggests, sits in a different place than one quietly stacking points away from home over the past few weeks. We trust the recent away sample most when projecting how they will travel.

With both fingerprints read, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.42, a call our model rates near 77%. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is our read — measured, evidence-led, and laid out plainly. Read enough of these fingerprints and you start to notice that the value rarely sits where the crowd is looking — it sits in the detail the headline number quietly glosses over. Browse the rest of today’s predictions on the site, each one read the same careful way.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the correct score for today's Qatar Cup match worked out?

We combine each team's recent form, head-to-head record and league-adjusted scoring rates, then choose the scoreline that best fits both the win-probability split and the published tip ("Over 2.5").

Does the correct score always match the tip of the day?

Yes. Every scoreline shown is checked for consistency with the day's tip before publishing — for example an "Over 2.5" tip will never be paired with a 1-0 projection.

Is a correct score prediction a guarantee?

No. It is a statistically informed projection for information and entertainment purposes only, not a guaranteed outcome. Please gamble responsibly.

Where can I get help with problem gambling?

If betting stops being fun, free confidential support is available around the clock from organisations such as BeGambleAware and GamCare. Our predictions are for information purposes only and are never a reason to chase losses.

12Reviewed By
T
The CorrectScoreForToday Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made, or the analyst's credentials and editorial policy.
Analysis last verified 2 Sep 2026, 9:38am
13Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Al-Sadd vs Al-Gharafa?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 69%.
What is Al-Sadd's current form?
Al-Sadd have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al-Gharafa been performing recently?
Al-Gharafa have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al-Sadd lead with 5 wins versus Al-Gharafa's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. CorrectScoreForToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.